{"id":21080,"date":"2024-12-20T10:24:55","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T15:24:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.merkley.senate.gov\/?p=21080"},"modified":"2025-01-02T09:19:02","modified_gmt":"2025-01-02T14:19:02","slug":"casten-merkley-question-robinhood-over-election-betting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.merkley.senate.gov\/es\/casten-merkley-question-robinhood-over-election-betting\/","title":{"rendered":"Casten, Merkley Question Robinhood Over Election Betting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Washington DC <\/strong>\u2014 U.S. Congressman Sean Casten (IL-06), Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Senator Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), Congressman Brad Sherman (CA-32), and Congresswoman Andrea Salinas (OR-06) sent a letter to Robinhood questioning their recent decision to allow customers to bet on the results of the presidential election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cIt appears that Robinhood has capitalized on election betting to expand its profits, which could come at the expense of protecting investors,\u201d <strong>escribieron los legisladores. <\/strong>\u201cIt should give lawmakers, regulators, and investors immediate pause that Robinhood allows users to bet on elections with minimal requirements. Robinhood\u2019s expansion into political gambling normalizes risky and speculative betting on critical events.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Robinhood users can bet on the election outcome by buying and selling political event contracts, which are generally structured as binary options that look more like online gambling than a traditional investment. These contracts are risky, speculative, and volatile financial instruments with an all-or-nothing payoff. They can be addictive, leading investors to accumulate significant losses over time.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robinhood has a history of enabling inexperienced investors to trade similarly addictive options. In 2020, 20-year-old college student Alex Kearns of Naperville, Illinois took his own life after Robinhood approved him for options trading and allowed him to take on $730,000 in positions and exposure that he did not have the liquidity to cover.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More broadly, election betting markets are relatively small and can be easily manipulated by large bettors. These markets are also susceptible to bias and skew towards certain user demographics. For example, Robinhood\u2019s average customer is younger and male, which does not accurately represent the electorate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cWe are concerned by Mr. Tenev\u2019s misguided comments suggesting that election betting markets are the \u2018fastest way to get information about what\u2019s happening\u2019 and address the \u2018shortcomings\u2019 of traditional news media\u2026Comments like these, including Elon Musk\u2019s claims that these markets are \u2018more accurate than polls,\u2019 are dangerous and can fuel distrust in the election process,\u201d <strong>continuaron los legisladores.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Se puede encontrar una copia de la carta. <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/casten.house.gov\/imo\/media\/doc\/casten-merkley_letter_to_robinhood_on_election_betting.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>aqu\u00ed<\/strong><\/a><strong> y por debajo.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dear Mr. Tenev and Mr. Mackenzie:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We write to seek clarity about Robinhood\u2019s recent decision to allow its customers to gamble on the results of the U.S. presidential election. Just two weeks before election day, on October 28, 2024, Robinhood launched political event contracts. These contracts enabled Robinhood customers to buy and sell \u2018Yes\u2019 or \u2018No\u2019 contracts for each candidate, the price of which varied based on the market\u2019s prediction for each candidate\u2019s odds of winning the election. Customers who own contracts with the correct outcome would receive $1.00 per contract, while those who bet on the losing candidate would walk away with nothing. It appears that Robinhood has capitalized on election betting to expand its profits, which could come at the expense of protecting investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robinhood has characterized this latest offering as \u201cunlocking a new asset class that democratizes access to events as they unfold.\u201d This marketing raises concerns, especially given Robinhood\u2019s history of exploiting inexperienced traders. Earlier this year, Robinhood settled charges with a state securities regulator for treating trading as a game, employing addictive in-app features like confetti, lottery ticket scratch-offs for free stock rewards, and push notifications to lure young, inexperienced investors into placing risky trades. In 2021, Robinhood was fined a record-setting $70 million for harming millions of its customers, including approving thousands to buy options, which are complex and risky financial instruments. For years, Robinhood relied on automated systems to authorize customers to place these trades, which resulted in rubber-stamp approval for customers who did not meet the necessary eligibility criteria for options trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The widespread harm inflicted by Robinhood on its customers cannot be undone. In 2020, 20-year-old college student Alex Kearns tragically took his own life after Robinhood approved him for options trading, allowed him to take on $730,000 in positions and exposure that he did not have the liquidity to cover, displayed false and misleading information about margin trading, and failed to provide him with the necessary customer support and investment guidance. It should give lawmakers, regulators, and investors immediate pause that Robinhood allows users to bet on elections with minimal requirements. To engage in such trading, Robinhood only requires that customers have margin investing enabled or Level 2 or 3 approval for options trading. In 2021, Robinhood claimed it had \u201crevised experience requirements\u201d for customers seeking approval for riskier option trades; however, a CBS investigation later revealed just how easy it still was to obtain approval to trade options.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When asked about investing experience, choosing \u201cnone\u201d rejects users from trading options. However, the app then prompted the user to update their experience level and changing the response to \u201cnot much\u201d results in approval. Currently, Robinhood\u2019s website vaguely states that they evaluate information about a customer\u2019s \u201ctrading experience, investment objectives, and financial situation\u201d for options approval, while emphasizing that each brokerage retains the discretion to set the specific parameters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Political event contracts are high-risk, speculative, and volatile products designed to attract retail traders and keep them trading. The nature of political polls shifting rapidly ahead of a high-profile election exacerbates incentives built into Robinhood\u2019s platform. Robinhood has a reason to motivate retail investors to trade more frequently so that Robinhood can make money on the back end by routing orders to market makers through a practice called payment for order flow (PFOF). Political betting is attractive because these trades are fully collateralized from the start, where losses are capped at what has been put up as collateral. However, this could encourage risky behavior and lead traders to take larger or more frequent positions and accumulate losses over time. Moreover, political event contracts are structured as binary options that settle depending on whether an event occurs or not\u2014there\u2019s an all-or-nothing payout, where traders stand to and often lose the entirety of their investment. For instance, an Australian Securities and Investments Commission study found that 80% of retail customers lost money trading binary options. The UK\u2019s Financial Conduct Authority has identified several other risks associated with speculative binary options products, including conflicts of interest, where the firm benefits when customers lose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, these markets can be easily manipulated by large bettors. For example, one French trader skewed the odds on Polymarket, an offshore betting platform, by putting nearly $30 million on Donald Trump. This is notable because options are sensitive to the volatility of the underlying asset\u2014or in this case, the underlying event being the presidential election\u2014and unexpected price swings can magnify potential losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lastly, we are concerned by Mr. Tenev\u2019s misguided comments suggesting that election betting markets are the \u201cfastest way to get information about what\u2019s happening\u201d and address the \u201cshortcomings\u201d of traditional news media, citing that they delivered clear results hours before news networks called the election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the New York Times election needle and other forecasting tools were similarly quick to indicate President-elect Donald Trump\u2019s advantage as results came in. It is likely that the prediction markets were responding to the same publicly available vote counts and analyses that informed the media\u2019s forecasting tools, as opposed to providing unique insights. Comments like these, including Elon Musk\u2019s claims that these markets are \u201cmore accurate than polls,\u201d are dangerous and can fuel distrust in the election process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In reality, election betting markets are relatively small and far from the scale of U.S. debt and equities markets, which involve a diverse range of participants and convey messages that are taken seriously. Additionally, election betting markets have limited historical data available for accuracy, and tend to attract specific user demographics, mainly younger individuals and males. For instance, the average Robinhood customer is 31 years old and the majority of its users are men, which does not accurately represent the broader electorate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robinhood\u2019s expansion into political gambling normalizes risky and speculative betting on critical events, which could cause significant harm to investors. To that end, we request answers to the following questions in writing by January 2, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\" start=\"1\">\n<li>Please detail the specific user information that Robinhood evaluates for Level 2 and 3 options trading approval.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What steps did Robinhood take during the 2024 election cycle to protect less sophisticated bettors from high-risk political gambles?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What safeguards are in place to prevent market manipulation in Robinhood\u2019s political event contracts?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Why are users only allowed to trade political event contracts in-app and not on Robinhood\u2019s website?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>How does Robinhood differentiate between responsible investing opportunities and speculative gambling in its marketing and user experience?&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>How does Robinhood address concerns that political betting markets could undermine trust in democratic institutions and contribute to misinformation?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Gracias por su atenci\u00f3n a este importante asunto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atentamente,&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"># # #<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Washington, D.C. \u2014 U.S. Congressman Sean Casten (IL-06), Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Senator Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), Congressman Brad Sherman (CA-32), and Congresswoman Andrea Salinas (OR-06) sent a letter to Robinhood questioning their recent decision to allow customers to bet on the results of the presidential election. \u201cIt appears that Robinhood has capitalized on election [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":18846,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[123],"class_list":["post-21080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press-releases","tag-protecting-our-democracy-and-fixing-the-senate"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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